JACKSONVILLE – This is a guess. Repeat – this is only a guess.
Maybe there's a little deductive reasoning added in, but that's OK. Such things – reasoning, deducing and guessing – are, after all, what mocking the NFL draft are about in any year.
And in this year that's particularly true.
So when reading this jaguars.com mock draft, version 2.0, don't make the mistake some made with version 1.0. When that made its debut a while back, many assumed that the No. 2 overall selection to the Jaguars had some particularly important meaning just because it appeared on this website.
It didn't. And this one doesn't, either.
Jaguars General Manager David Caldwell isn't tipping his hand, here or anywhere, nor should he.
But you can't very well have an NFL-oriented website these days and not do a little mocking, so with the draft now 13 days away, we present a second effort at projecting a first round that most NFL analysts agree ranks among the most difficult-to-project drafts in recent memory.
That's particularly true when it comes to the Jaguars. Because while a consensus correctly or incorrectly has built nationally that the Kansas City Chiefs will select Texas A&M left tackle Luke Joeckel at No. 1 overall, no such consensus has built at No. 2.
Oregon defensive end/linebacker Dion Jordan, Brigham Young defensive end Ezekial "Ziggy" Ansah, Alabama cornerback Dee Milliner, West Virginia quarterback Geno Smith, Joeckel, Central Michigan left tackle Eric Fisher and Florida defensive tackle Sharrif Floyd . . .
All have received varying degrees of support among draft analysts for the Jaguars' No. 2 selection.
None have had much staying power as a consensus choice. That means with the draft fast approaching not only is the Jaguars' selection seemingly wide open, but the rest of the Top 10, too.
So, what's the guess here for the Jaguars at No. 2?
We put Ansah here before, and we're going to bypass Joeckel and Fisher because the gut here is it won't be offensive tackle. We'll bypass Milliner, too, though considering the Jaguars' hole at cornerback there is more logic to a corner at No. 2 than there might be normally.
There was a strong temptation to pick Floyd, but instead we'll put Jordan here this week. He's a pass rusher who could eventually play the Leo position. He also appears to be an elite talent whose game appears to have a very good chance to translate to the NFL with comparatively little risk.
Also, the trend has been hard toward Ansah and/or Floyd nationally, so why not be different? A lot of people will read a lot into that. That's OK, but remember . . .
This is a guess. Repeat – this is only a guess.
Meanwhile, here's the jaguars.com 2013 mock draft, version 2.0:
1 | Kansas City | Luke Joeckel, OL, Kansas City | Maybe Chiefs pull a surprise. Here's guessing they don't
2 | Jacksonville | Dion Jordan, DE/LB, Oregon | Two weeks out, Jaguars still have NFL world guessing
3 | Oakland | Sharrif Floyd, DT, Florida| Talent just too good to pass up
4 | Philadelphia | Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia | Over-drafted or not, Smith won't get out of Top 10
5 | Detroit |Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan | Hard to see him getting past Detroit
6 | Cleveland | Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama | He could go a lot higher than this
7 | Arizona | Lane Johnson, OT, Oklahoma |Three left tackles in the top seven
8 | Buffalo | Chance Warmack, OG, Alabama | No. 8 for a guard? This year, yes – maybe earlier
9 | NY Jets | Ziggy Ansah, DE, Brigham Young | Wouldn't be surprising if he went much earlier
10 | Tennessee | Jonathan Cooper, OG, North Carolina | Still hard to see this not being a guard
11 | San Diego | Jarvis Jones, DE/LB Georgia | If three LTs off board, pass rusher makes sense
12 | Miami | Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee | Patterson getting big push for top WR in draft
13 | Tampa Bay | Xavier Rhodes, CB, FSU | Few see him making it past Buccaneers at this spot
14 | Carolina | Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah | Looking more and more like he may not make it to here
15 | New Orleans | Barkevious Mingo, DE, LSU | This could be a bargain for Saints if he's here
16 | St. Louis | Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia | If there's a mid-first-round lock, this is it
17 | Pittsburgh | Bjoern Werner, DE, FSU | The predraft Werner-Steelers link remains very strong
18 | Dallas | Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri | Another member of strong DT class that may go earlier
19 | NY Giants | DJ Fluker, OT, Alabama | If pass rusher is here, Giants could grab one
20 | Chicago | Alec Ogletree, ILB, Georgia | Another pre-draft connection that remains strong
21 | Cincinnati | Cornelius Carradine, DE, FSU | May be bargain of first round in a few years
22 | St. Louis (from Washington) | Kenny Vaccaro, S, Texas | Safety the logical selection here
23 | Minnesota | Keenan Allen, WR, California | Vikings would still probably love a Patterson slip
24 | Indianapolis | Johnathan Hankins, DT, Ohio State | Remains a rising name in a deep DT class
25 | Minnesota | Manti Te'o, LB, Notre Dame| Seems more and more likely to go in Round 1
26 | Green Bay | Tyler Eifert, TE, Notre Dame | Tight end seems more logical as draft draws near
27 | Houston | Robert Woods, WR, Southern Cal | Almost has to be a receiver here
28 | Denver | Datone Jones, DE, UCLA | Broncos need upgrades defensively. This comes on the line
29 | New England | Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington | Wouldn't be a shock in Top 20
30 | Atlanta | Johnthan Banks, CB, Mississippi State| Could be a bit of a reach this high, but not much
31 | San Fran | Matt Elam, S, Florida |With so many picks, Niners a good bet to trade up
32 | Baltimore | Kevin Minter, ILB, LSU | If Te'o isn't here, Minter makes sense