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Experts Make Predictions on Week 18: Jaguars vs. Titans | Final Analysis

Final Analysis - Week 18

JACKSONVILLE – Each week during the 2023 season, Jaguars "experts" – Tony Boselli, Frank Frangie, Jeff Lageman, Brent Martineau, John Oehser, Brian Sexton, J.P. Shadrick and Kainani Stevens – will analyze the following day's Jaguars matchup.

Up this week:

The Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tenn.

Tony Boselli, Jaguars Analyst and Former Jaguars Left Tackle

  • The Jaguars will win if: They play a clean game with no turnovers, no mental errors, minimal penalties and giving the Titans zero gifts.  We won't know until game time if quarterback Trevor Lawrence is playing. Regardless, if they don't beat themselves and don't allow Titans running back Derrick Henry to go crazy, they will win.
  • The Titans will win if: They win the turnover margin by two or more and Henry has a huge day.  This Titans team is missing their best defensive lineman in Jeffery Simmons, playing their backup quarterback and has a poor offensive line.  They will need the Jaguars to help them by turning the ball over to get a win before they head off to vacation.
  • As Boselli sees it: The AFC South is sitting right in front of the Jaguars and if they don't beat themselves, it's theirs.  I think they get out to a fast start and the Titans start thinking about their offseason vacations about midway through the second quarter. Jags win by double digits.

Frank Frangie, Radio Voice of the Jaguars

  • The Jaguars will win if: They continue to play defense as they did last week against Carolina. They covered and really got after the quarterback. The Titans will want to run the ball per usual, so the Jags have to win first down. Keep Tennessee behind the sticks. On offense, it's possible the Jags can get Trevor Lawrence and wide receiver Christian Kirk and Zay Jones back, which would be huge. The offense would be more like the team that started 8-3 before Kirk got hurt. This could be their most healthy and complete team in a while.
  • The Titans will win if: As he has done in the past, Henry gets going and they run the ball. And they will need a few takeaways. The Titans probably will have to win the turnover battle to win the game.
  • As Frangie sees it: The Jags have the better team, have everything at stake and since Pederson has been here, they have played well when it matters most. I expect them to play well again, which means winning and making the playoffs.

Jeff Lageman, Jaguars Analyst and Former Jaguars Defensive End

  • The Jaguars will win if: They play clean on both sides of the football. Protecting the football, minimizing penalties and being assignment clean with communication all fall under the umbrella of playing clean football. This is what enabled the Jaguars to break a four-game losing streak last Sunday and will propel them to a second consecutive divisional title.
  • The Titans will win if: They can get some takeaways that would allow King Henry to get rolling on the ground in what could be his last game with the Titans. The Titans' offensive line has been a weakness for a couple years now (just ask quarterbacks Ryan Tannehill and Will Levis) and if Henry gets wound up this Titans team will gain confidence.
  • As Lageman sees it: This game is similar in many ways to last week's for the Jaguars with a couple big differences. Vrabel is a really good coach and will have his team ready to battle 60 minutes – and the Titans are a divisional foe that has a history of being a thorn in the Jaguars' side. The Jaguars will get a focused performance by whoever is playing quarterback and at wide receiver as their head football coach, Doug Pederson, is also pretty damn good.

Brent Martineau, Action Sports Jax Sports Director

  • The Jaguars will win if: They win the turnover battle. I think the Jags will sign up for the similar plan that helped them win against Carolina. The Jaguars must avoid giving the football away and giving hope and momentum to the Titans. If the Jaguars can get an early lead and hold onto the football, it should be a good day in Nashville.
  • The Titans will win if: Henry has one more monster day against the Jaguars. The game flow will determine how long Tennessee can stick with Henry to carry them in this one. He only has gone over 100 yards three times this season and he will need his biggest game of 2023 to give the Titans a victory in likely his final game in Nashville.
  • As Martineau sees it: This looks like a good matchup on paper. The Jaguars have won three consecutive meetings against Tennessee. Doesn't everyone have a feeling this one won't be easy? I think the Jaguars are healthier and on a mission to get back to the playoffs. The Jaguars will pull away late for a 24-13 win.
Running Backs Coach Bernie Parmalee and RB Tank Bigsby (4)

John Oehser, jaguars.com Senior Writer

  • The Jaguars will win if: They play mistake-free offensively and stop the run defensively. This was the formula in a victory over the Panthers last Sunday and it can be the formula Sunday. The Jaguars are the better team in this matchup. They don't need to do anything special. They just need to play well.
  • The Titans will win if: They protect the quarterback and run well. The Jaguars' defensive front dominated the teams' November meeting and the Jaguars won easily. The Titans must reverse that matchup to win Sunday.
  • As Oehser sees it: The Jaguars are the better team. They showed it in November and they have plenty of incentive to show it Sunday. The Jaguars need to get an early lead. If they do, they should win this – and a second consecutive AFC South title.

Brian Sexton, jaguars.com Senior Correspondent

  • The Jaguars will win if: They run the ball. The question at quarterback remains for the Jaguars this week, and running will make the offense easier and more efficient. Expect Titans running back Derrick Henry to be fed the football in what could be his final home game; he has been productive this season when he gets at least 18 carries. The game plan is simple this week. Keep the ball out of Henry's hands.
  • The Titans will win if: The Jaguars turn the ball over. That has been the story late this season. The Jaguars were minus-five giveaway-takeaway in four consecutive losses recently with ten turnovers. They were plus-one on Sunday in a victory over the Carolina Panthers. If the Titans make the Jaguars make mistakes, they can pull the upset and end the Jaguars hopes of back-to-back AFC South titles.
  • As Sexton sees it: These aren't those Titans. Henry can be good, but he isn't the same wrecking ball he has been. Plus: The Titans' best player, defensive tackle Jeffrey Simmons, is on injured reserve. If the Jaguars show up and play like they know what's at stake, they win this one.

J.P. Shadrick, jaguars.com Senior Reporter

  • The Jaguars will win if: They protect the football and take care of business on defense. This is true no matter who is healthy enough to play against the Titans, but certainly if quarterback Trevor Lawrence is cleared to go. His turnover totals the last few weeks he has played are far from ideal. The formula is protect the ball, run the ball and don't allow busted plays for the Titans when they have the ball.
  • The Titans will win if: They get some early momentum and life and have some energy to try to spoil the Jaguars' playoff chances. Could this be the last game for Henry and Head Coach Mike Vrabel in Nashville? Don't let them make it a memorable one if it is.
  • As Shadrick sees it: The Jaguars led the Titans 13-0 at halftime in Week 11, and 27-0 in the third quarter. This Jaguars team has the blueprint to victory, now it's just about finishing the job. Even with the month-long struggles, the Jaguars are still in command of the AFC South; considering the stakes, the focus should be laser-sharp this week. A win means we will see you next week at the 'Bank for an AFC Wild Card Playoff game against the No. 5 seed Cleveland Browns. A loss means either a back-door No. 7 seed and a road trip for a Wild Card Playoff Game, or it's an early vacation and lots of questions about how they got to Cancun so early.

Kainani Stevens, Jaguars Team Reporter

  • The Jaguars will win if: They want it. The Jaguars are the superior team and have everything to play for on Sunday. While the team can technically get into the playoffs with a loss, the Jags really need the momentum that comes with a win if they have any hope of advancing past the Wild Card round. Keys are playing mistake-free football and being confident.
  • The Titans will win if: Henry turns back the clock in his final game with the Titans. Henry has the ability to be a game-wrecker and he has done that more than once against the Jags. If Jacksonville's run defense allows Henry to get going early, that will give the Titans a good chance at pulling off the upset.
  • As Stevens sees it: Win and in. It's that simple. Jaguars, 28-10.

It all comes down to this. The Jaguars spend the week preparing to head to Nashville and face the Tennessee Titans with focus on an AFC South title on Sunday 🤠 Check out practice photos →

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