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Experts Share Final Predictions on Week 14: Jaguars vs. Browns

Final Analysis - Week 14

JACKSONVILLE – Each week during the 2023 season, Jaguars "experts" – Tony Boselli, Frank Frangie, Jeff Lageman, Brent Martineau, John Oehser, Brian Sexton, J.P. Shadrick and Kainani Stevens – will analyze the following day's Jaguars matchup.

Up this week:

The Cleveland Browns at Cleveland Browns Stadium in Cleveland, Ohio.

Tony Boselli, Jaguars Analyst and Former Jaguars Left Tackle

  • The Jaguars will win if: They can run the ball and control the line of scrimmage. We won't know until game time if Lawrence is playing. Regardless, he's going to be limited in his movement. If they don't run the ball and they're in a bunch of obvious passing situations, they're going to have problems. The Jags will be starting their third left tackle and the Browns have a guy Myles who's pretty good.
  • The Browns will win if: They make the Jaguars one-dimensional on offense, and run the ball on offense. The Jaguars' defense is good when it makes an offense's run game ineffective. But as we have seen this year, when a team controls the line of scrimmage and runs the ball, the Jaguars' defense struggles.
  • As Boselli sees it: This is going to be a tough game. Weather could be an issue and the Jaguars are coming in beat up. With all the injuries the Jaguars have coming into this game, it's going to be a low-scoring close game that probably will be decided on a turnover or big play late.

Frank Frangie, Radio Voice of the Jaguars

  • The Jaguars will win if: They play good defense. With their quarterback situation uncertain, the Jaguars must stop the run and make Flacco or Thompson-Robinson throw off schedule. It's unlikely the Browns can beat the Jags through the air. The Jags also must find some offense, even if Beathard plays for Lawrence. They must get the running game going, and that has been a problem of late.
  • The Browns will win: If they find some offense on the ground and grind out a defensive game. They hope Thompson-Robinson can go, but they haven't been north of 20 points in a game in a month. They must play good defense.
  • As Frangie sees it: This will be a defensive game with both teams possibly playing backup quarterbacks and rainy conditions throughout. If the Jaguars stop the run and find just a bit of offense, they should win. But this one could come down to late fourth quarter.

Jeff Lageman, Jaguars Analyst and Former Jaguars Defensive End

  • The Jags will win if: They handle the injuries at quarterback position. Lawrence has an injured ankle and Beathard has an injured shoulder. Whoever plays must be sharp as the Browns are the No. 1 defense in the NFL in yards allowed. The Browns will be a bit salty after two not-so-great performances where they have given up a combined 65 points.
  • The Browns will win if: They establish an effective ground game against a Jaguars defense that got pushed around Monday. Cleveland has a pretty good offensive line, especially at the two guard positions, and will be looking to grind it out on what could be an ugly weather day.
  • As Lageman sees it: This game has lots of intrigue with both teams at quarterback. Who will play for each team? Could the Browns deploy a two-quarterback system with Joe Flacco and Dorian Thompson-Robinson? Still, this game will come back to the trenches and who protects the ball. Both teams are hungry with playoff berths on their minds and this game could come down to a special teams play that changes the game or a field goal at the end.

Brent Martineau, Action Sports Jax Sports Director

  • The Jaguars will win: If the defense has a big bounce-back game. This has all the makings of a low-scoring affair and the Jaguars' defense must respond after Monday night to give the Jags a chance. This might need to be a multi-turnover game for the defense for the Jaguars to win and they must get back to stopping the run.
  • The Browns will win if: They control the line of scrimmage like Cincinnati did against the Jaguars Monday night. Cleveland is limited in the passing game, but the Browns can play downhill and physically. If the Browns have a good run game Sunday, they likely will win.
  • As Martineau sees it: This is a tough one. I didn't like this game on the schedule from the jump because it was sandwiched between two prime-time affairs – and because it's Cleveland in December. The Browns have their own challenges and now the Jags really have their challenges. Pederson's team has lost back-to-back games just once in the last 13 months. I'm going to buy Pederson and the Jags bouncing back in Cleveland and finding a way to win, 20-16.

John Oehser, Senior Writer

  • The Jaguars will win if: They stop the run as well as they have most of the season and hit a momentum-turning play in each half. It's hard to see the Jaguars' offense scoring big against a tough Browns defense with either Lawrence playing hurt or Beathard at quarterback. The Jaguars must limit Cleveland's running game and flip the field enough to get to 20 points.
  • The Browns will win if: They run as they have much of the season and dominate defensively. The Browns' formula this season has been a strong defense complementing a strong run offense. That has been particularly effective at home, where the Browns have lost just once this season.
  • As Oehser sees it: The Jaguars can win this game. Their history playing through adversity under Head Coach Doug Pederson is good enough that it's dangerous to pick against them. But the Jaguars' injury situation and the Browns' defense at home makes this a really tough matchup. If the Jaguars win, it's one of the best victories of Pederson's tenure.

Brian Sexton, Senior Correspondent

  • The Jaguars will win if: They circle the wagons. Maybe quarterback Trevor Lawrence plays through his high-ankle sprain Sunday, but I'm not betting on it – and Jaguars players shouldn't, either. There's enough talent on the team to win with backup quarterback C.J. Beathard. I hope this team realized this week that help was not on the way and the solution was going to have to come from within.
  • The Browns will win if: Their defense plays as well as it has most of the season. This is an excellent unit, but it has given up a lot of points in recent weeks. If defensive end Myles Garrett and cornerback Denzel Ward are on the field and feeling good, it could be a long day for whomever is playing quarterback for the Jaguars – particularly if it's Beathard.
  • As Sexton sees it: There are too many variables to pick the Jaguars in this one. It's not just Lawrence; take a look at the Jaguars' injury list. The 7-5 Browns are trying to hang in the AFC playoffs with as many injuries as the Jaguars and are desperate after losing two consecutive games. We've seen the Jaguars against a desperate team and that was with Lawrence. I don't see the Jags winning this one.

J.P. Shadrick, Senior Reporter

  • The Jaguars will win if: They take care of the football, no matter who the quarterback is, and continue to move the ball consistently. Wide receiver Christian Kirk is out, they are without left tackle Walker Little and two running backs are on the injury report – just to name a few. Guess what? No one cares. They'll kick it off Sunday at 1 p.m., no matter what. Next man up.
  • The Browns will win if: They stop the Jaguars' ground game and force whoever the quarterback is into longer down-and-distance situations with the NFL's No. 1 ranked total and pass defense. Defensive end Myles Garrett was held off the stat sheet last week completely while playing through a shoulder injury. I'm guessing he hasn't been shut out two weeks in a row in his entire career. This is a week to stay ahead of the chains.
  • As Shadrick sees it: I'm just a radio announcer with little-to-no knowledge about high-ankle sprains. But if it was my call, I would lean toward resting Lawrence to ensure he's as good as possible for the final four regular-season games starting next week against the Baltimore Ravens and the possible playoff run. Then again, this game is critical for the Jaguars in the playoff chase with the Browns gaining Wild Card steam and the Houston Texans and Indianapolis Colts gaining momentum in recent weeks in the AFC South chase, so I understand the push to try to get Lawrence ready this week. This is Cleveland in December. Be ready for the unexpected, both with the weather conditions and the product on the field with so many fresh faces in new places for both teams.

Kainani Stevens, Jaguars Team Reporter

  • The Jaguars will win if: Lawrence heals quickly and the defense bounces back. The defense had one of their worst games of the season against the Bengals and it can't let that happen again in Cleveland. Stopping the run remains the priority for a Jaguars win.
  • The Browns will win if: Lawrence can't play. I don't think it's impossible for the Jags to win without T-Law but the margin for error is very slim. The Browns are still very much in the playoff picture, and they are used to playing without their starters. The Browns' defense is also lights out at home.
  • As Stevens sees it: The Jaguars will have a tough time winning this game. Even if Lawrence does play, he will be limited in his mobility against a great defense. I think the Browns win it, 13-10.

Sun came up and we are back to work 💪 Swipe through top photos of the Jaguars preparation for Week 14. The Jaguars will face the Cleveland Browns in Ohio on Sunday afternoon.

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