JACKSONVILLE – Each week during the 2026 season, Jaguars "experts" – Frank Frangie, Brent Martineau, John Oehser, Brian Sexton, Mark Duffner, Austen Lane and John Shipley – will analyze the week's Jaguars matchup.

Up this week:

The Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Md.

Frank Frangie, Radio Voice of the Jaguars

• The Jaguars will win if: They keep on keeping on. They are playing at an elite level. The run-pass balance is now better than ever. The key this week is managing the short week, players taking care of their bodies and coaches building a quick game plan. They must stack the box and stop Henry, a task made harder without Hamilton. Short weeks on the road can always be tough, but if the Jaguars play with the passion with which they have played and continue to execute, they will beat the outmanned Ravens.
• The Ravens will win if: They get Henry going – really going. He has been a Jaguars killer at times, and his team never needed him more than now, with the Ravens' quarterback position in extreme flux. The Ravens must stop the Jaguars' balanced offense and somehow pressure Trevor Lawrence, who is playing as well as any player in the NFL.
• As Frangie sees it: The Jags are better and playing really well. The Ravens are beat up, which includes not having their quarterback. The Jags should go on the road and win.

Brent Martineau, Action Sports Jax Sports Director

• The Jaguars will win if: They are even in the turnover battle and score 20 points or more. This feels a lot like last week's recipe to win. The Jaguars are the better team, so an early lead will play a major role in taking care of business. It's hard to believe with the quarterback situation that Baltimore could score more than 20 points.
• The Ravens will win if: They force three or more turnovers, and Henry has his best game of the season. Henry is still capable but hasn't been getting as many carries in the last few weeks. The Ravens' defense must really impact this game.
• As Martineau sees it: The Jaguars are looking good, and things are not looking good for the Ravens. The Jaguars have made some wins look easy lately, but I don't think will be easy. The Ravens will come to play and keep this close for a bit. I think the Jaguars pull away in the fourth quarter to win, 24-13.

John Oehser, jaguars.com senior writer

• The Jaguars will win if: They play physically throughout, take an early lead and avoid turnovers. The Jaguars are the better team, with the significantly better quarterback. If they play to their standard, they should pull away from what likely will be a motivated, tough Ravens team.
• The Ravens will win if: They lead at halftime and force the Jaguars into mistakes. Their home field will give them energy and they likely will be motivated early to support Pagnano. They need a turnover or two – and some early points – to maintain that energy and motivation.
• As Oehser sees it: This is a game the Jaguars should win. That was already true and became truer when the Ravens placed Jackson on injured reserve Tuesday. The thought here is the Jaguars will play steadily and pull away to a solid victory in the second half.

Brian Sexton, jaguars.com senior correspondent

• The Jaguars will win if: They make quarterback Joe Fagnano play like a rookie free agent. The Ravens won't have MVP quarterback Lamar Jackson, but they still have running back Derrick Henry, a bruising offensive line and a star-studded defense that knows how to play big games. The Jaguars have 12 takeaways this season, nine of which are interceptions. A rookie free agent quarterback seems like a bullseye for the defense to do what it did to Indianapolis Colts quarterback Daniel Jones last Sunday: Attack and reap the rewards of pressure that led to two interceptions against the Colts.
• The Ravens will win if: Henry plays like he usually plays against the Jaguars. Henry hasn't played well without Jackson this season, running for fewer than 60 yards in three consecutive games. But he has run for 150 yards or more against the Jaguars five times and averages 5.4 yards per carry versus them in his career. If the Ravens can get the future Hall of Famer going early, it might change the calculus for Fagnano and Baltimore's offense. If he's rolling, it's likely the Jaguars aren't.
• As Sexton sees it: The Jaguars will stop Henry, even without nose tackle DaVon Hamilton. The threat of Fagnano isn't the same as that of Jackson, so Jaguars defensive coordinator Anthony Campanile will be able to open his tool kit and create multiple options to slow the Ravens' running game. Plus: Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence is playing at an MVP level, which matters more than even the great Henry. The Jaguars will make the Ravens one-dimensional and grab a road prime-time victory in Baltimore.

Mark Duffner, longtime NFL assistant coach and Jaguars analyst

• The Jaguars will win if: The Jaguars continue playing to their standards and not to the level of their opponent in all three phases. Thursday Night Football means a short week and preparation will win. The Jaguars must protect the ball and Lawrence. Defensively, they must stop the Ravens' run game and Henry. The Jaguars must pressure Pagnano and win the line of scrimmage offensively and defensively.
• The Ravens will win if: They successfully run, shrink the game and control the clock. The Ravens are ranked sixth in the NFL in rushing at 133 yards per game. The Jaguars can't let Ravens wide receiver Zay Flowers get going, especially with explosive pass plays where he is among the league leaders.
• As Duffner sees it: The Jaguars should win if they are the most physical, relentless, smart team. They must execute the game play and finish plays. Whatever it takes. No excuses, no explanations.

Austen Lane, former NFL defensive end and Jaguars analyst

• The Jaguars will win if: They implement the same defensive philosophy they used against the Colts. It's simple: Stop the run, win the game. If the Jaguars continue doing what they have done all season, limiting rushing yards and preventing opponents from controlling the clock, they will have a clear path to victory. Tackles Matt Dickerson and Albert Regis must help fill the massive void left by Hamilton.
• The Ravens will win if: They stick to their offensive identity, and Fagnano makes the throws when called upon. Even with a healthy Jackson, Baltimore's offense has been predicated on making Henry the focus. Establishing Henry forces safeties closer to the line of scrimmage, creating opportunities to attack downfield. Baltimore won't ask Fagnano to do much, but it will need him to connect on intermediate and deep throws off play-action when those opportunities present themselves. Combine that with a defensive front more than capable of getting after Lawrence, and the Ravens have a formula to make this game interesting.
• As Lane sees It: No two games are the same, but schematically, this matchup looks familiar for the Jaguars' defense. Against Indianapolis, the formula was simple: Shut down running back Jonathan Taylor, win. Against Baltimore, it's the same philosophy: Shut down Henry, win. Baltimore still has the defensive talent to make things difficult, even if that unit hasn't consistently played to its usual standard. Add in the fact that the Jaguars haven't played their best football on the road this season, and I expect a tighter contest than some might anticipate. Final Prediction: Jaguars 24, Ravens 17.

John Shipley, Jaguars correspondent

• The Jaguars will win if: Quarterback Trevor Lawrence keeps dealing. This is not the Ravens defense we are used to seeing, with their secondary allowing too many explosive plays over the last few weeks. Lawrence threw a touchdown almost once in every five pass attempts against the Colts, and I think he will keep things rolling against the Ravens.
• The Ravens will win if: The Jaguars can't slow Henry. The future Hall of Fame running back has been the source of the Jaguars' nightmares often before, and the Jaguars must now fend him off without the heart and soul of their run defense in Hamilton. Henry is the entire key for the Ravens on Thursday.
• As Shipley sees it: The loss of Hamilton hurts when Henry is next up, but the Jaguars are talented enough to still win. Jaguars Head Coach Liam Coen offenses have done well against Ravens Head Coach Jesse Minter defenses in the past, and Lawrence is playing like the NFL's best quarterback. Jaguars 30, Ravens 17.